torsdag 15 januari 2015

Facing flop raise in 3bet pot

Hand:

PokerStars Hand #128636153409 begins at 2015/01/14  9:32 am
Seat 1 (Gamin@tor) is the dealer
DianaSvensk posts the small blind 0.10
asriva posts the big blind 0.25
Dralls folds
oIIaHa folds
Commix89 folds
Gamin@tor raises to 0.75
DianaSvensk raises to 2.75
asriva folds
Gamin@tor calls 2.00
Flop: [9d Kd 8d]
DianaSvensk bets 3.29

Gamin@tor raises to 9.00


[P] 
19,3% of hands = 256 combos

[F]
This flop is K high and with our linear SB 3betting range I think we can cbet quite aggressively. Maybe using a smaller sizing than standard (go down to half pot or slightly under) and cbet linear.


Cbet V: AA (3)TT-QQ (9), 89s (3), 99 (3), 88 (3), AK (9), QK (9), KJ (9), K9s (3), K8s (3) = 54
A2dd-A7dd (6), 45dd-67dd (3), TJdd-QJdd, QTdd (3), 46dd, 57dd (2) = 15

Cbet Bluff: AdQx (4), AdJx (4), AdTx (4), TJs (3), QJs (3), 8Ts (3), 67s (3), 56s (3), 75s (3) = 30
Semi bluff?: A9s (3), A8s (3), Q8s (3), Q9s (3) = 12
AQ: 12 (blocks KQ and AdQx) = 12

Tot 123 combos cbet or 50% on this flop.

C/C: AdAx (3) AdKx (3), QdKx (3), KxJd (3), KK (3), AQdd, AJdd, ATdd (3), TdTx, JdJx, QdQx (9), 9Ts (3), 9Js (3) = 33


To this flop raise, we have to defend 50% of our range. And since our range is so strong in this situation, we could be 3betting our hole range here, but I think some hands just hate to get it in, like AA and AK no diamonds. We will still 3bet aggressively though. I look at the range something like this:

3bet flop with (assuming 100bb stacks now):
 45dd-67dd (3), TJdd-QJdd, QTdd (3), 46dd, 57dd (2) = 11
89s (3), 99 (3), 88 (3), K9s (3), K8s (3) = 15
AdQx (4), AdJx (4), AdTx (4) = 12

Tot 39 combos

Calls:
A2dd-A7dd (6), AA (3), AK (9), QK (9),  = 27
TJs (3) = 3

Tot 30 combos

Tot 69 combos defended or 56% of range

Summary: I think 3betting the flop agressively with a lot of hands make sense here, but keeping a calling range protected with all nut flush combos.

onsdag 14 januari 2015

Hand: Firing 3 in 3bet pot or not

PokerStars Hand #128536929092 begins at 2015/01/12  2:04 pm
Seat 1 (luchoq10) is the dealer
DianaSvensk posts the small blind 0.10
gogonoway posts the big blind 0.25
You're Super folds
icandodge22 folds
johnygunner raises to 0.75
luchoq10 raises to 2.25
DianaSvensk raises to 5.50
gogonoway folds
johnygunner folds
luchoq10 calls 3.25
Flop: [4h 3h 4d]
DianaSvensk bets 3.78
luchoq10 calls 3.78
Turn: [Qh]
DianaSvensk bets 6.16
luchoq10 calls 6.16
River: [3d]

DianaSvensk bets 18.27

[P] 
33+,A2s+,K8s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,AJo+,KQo = 19 % of hands = 252 combos

[F]
Cbet V:
AA-77 = 48 combos
A4s (2), A3s (3) = 5
AKhh, AQhh, AJhh, AThh, 56hh = 5

58

Cbet Semi bluff:
AK (15), AQ (15), AhJx (4), AxJh (4), = 38
A2hh, A5hh- A9hh (6) = 7, K8hh-KQhh (5) = 12
67hh, 89hh, T9hh, JThh, QJhh, 75hh, 68hh, 8Thh, QThh, KThh, KJhh = 11

61

A2dd, A5dd- A9dd (6) = 7, K8dd-KQdd (5) = 12
67dd, 89dd, T9dd, JTdd, QJdd, 75hh, 68dd, 8Tdd, QTdd, KTdd, KJdd = 11

56s (3), 67s (4), A5s (2), A2s (2) = 11

56

Tot 175 combos bet or 69% cbet frequency

On this flop in this situation, I prefer cbetting aggressively. After calling in co villain is capped. Maybe we should be even cbetting our hole continuing range? But normally we have a linear range from SB so maybe some c/c is good to have as well? But on this board we have the stronger/more polar range.

[T] 

Villain def has some AQ in his range, but I think those are the only Qx almost since it's a flush card, and he would 3bet a % of those pf so we have to discount it. Villain has some flushes in his range but not a huge amount, and since the turn is the Qh it blocks many of the more likely flushes. Therefor I think we can continue to bet for value and bluff aggressively. Having flush blockers is still relevant but not that relevant, since villains flushes are discounted. Villain probably have to call down with 88-99 a % of the time to stay indefferent. Explo wise I don't think villain will do that very often, which makes bluffing this runout pretty good with a high %.

175 - 3 QQ,1 AQhh - QJhh - QThh, KQhh = 169 combos OTT.

Cbet V:
AA-99 = 36 combos, 7h7x-8h8x (6) QKdd, QJdd, QTdd, Q9dd, Q8dd = 5 = 47
A4s (2), AQ (12) = 14
AKhh,  AJhh, AThh, 56hh = 4
67hh, 89hh, T9hh, JThh, 75hh, 68hh, 8Thh, KThh, KJhh = 9
A2hh, A5hh- A9hh (6) = 7, K8hh-K9hh = 9

= 63 combos v bet

Cbet Semi bluff:
AK (15), AhJx (4), AxJh (4), = 21
56s (3), 67s (3), 57s (3) A5s (3), A2s (3) = 15

Tot 36 combos

Tot 100 combos cbet ott, frequency: 60%

C/f v: A3s (3)
C/c: 77-88 w/o heart? Should we even havve a check/calling range here when it is so capped? Maybe add some broday flusshes as well? Or just give up these combos completely? Normally the Qx is good for bu but given pre flop action maybe we should just keep betting here our hole range again. I think in this instance we should keep betting our hole range, but in normal situation we should probably have a c/c range on each street and especially Qx turn.

[R] 
I think we can shove any Qx or better for value, so that gives:

Value shove:
AA-KK (12), QQ (3), QKdd, QJdd, QTdd, Q9dd, Q8dd (5) = 20
A4s (2), AQ (12) = 14
AKhh,  AJhh, AThh, 56hh = 4
67hh, 89hh, T9hh, JThh, 75hh, 68hh, 8Thh, KThh, KJhh = 9
A2hh, A5hh- A9hh (6) = 7, K8hh-K9hh = 9

Tot 56 combos

Bluff shove:
56s (3), 67s (3), 57s (3) = 9
AhKx (4), AxKh (4), AhJx (4), AxJh (4) = 12

Tot 21 combos bluffed.

A5s (3), A2s (3)???

Since blockers are not as important in this spot, I think I want too start with bluffing combos that have no chance to win at showdown. If we are bluffing all our turn bluffs then we are pretty explo at this river, so I don't think we should do that. Question is wether the AhX makes better bluffs than the hand that I used. I think probably the Ahx is better, it has a bit of blocker effect to the few flushes he has + the few AQ he can have.

We should have aprox 1 bluff for every 3 value combo with this sizing. But as said, explo I think we can bluff more aggressively here since villains top of range will be 99 a lot here. Therefor I don't think it's a terrible bluff in practice but I should look at keeping my frequencies in check.



tisdag 13 januari 2015

Cbet bottom of range or not?

Hand
PokerStars Hand #128600157074 begins at 2015/01/13  3:15 pm
Seat 1 (Mr Pkface) is the dealer
B4RT90 posts the small blind 0.10
ivannnntw posts the big blind 0.25
DianaSvensk raises to 0.75
pinkiBlinki folds
Andriyko1982 folds
Mr Pkface folds
B4RT90 calls 0.65
ivannnntw folds
Flop: [7s 5h 6c]
B4RT90 checks
DianaSvensk checks
Turn: [3c]
B4RT90 bets 1.50
DianaSvensk calls 1.50
River: [Ks]
B4RT90 bets 3.50
DianaSvensk calls 3.50
Action has ended

[P] 

33+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,AJo+,KQo = 15,38% = 204 combos

Cbet v: 
55 (3), 89s (4), 66 (3) = 10
TT-KK = 24

Tot value bets: 34

Cbet B: 
A9s (4), A8s (4), 9Ts (4), 44 (6), 33 (6) = 24
Backdoor fd: TJs (3), TQs (3), TKs (3), QJs (3), QKs (3), KJs (3) = 18
A2s-A4s (9)AT-AKs (12) = 21

Tot 63 bluffs


Strong check backs: 77 (3), AA (6), 88 (6), 78s (3), 99 (6)

Tot combos Cbet: 107 (52% combos cbet)

Ie, I don't think checking back 33 was a big mistake, but we could also put it in the bottom of our "cbet bluff 1-2 streets" category.

As played, villain shouldn't have many 4s in their range after calling sb vs utg (most players folds 44) so when he/she is betting twice here I guess he's repping an over pair or betterz and is expcing to never get raised, since I shouldn't have any fours either.

Because of that, it would be an interesting question wether we should/can value raise a set on this board. At least KK should probably be a river raise.

måndag 12 januari 2015

Facing River Raise w flush

Hand
PokerStars Hand #128534160930 begins at 2015/01/12  1:23 pm
Seat 1 (FALCON-GR) is the dealer
MetronAristo posts the small blind 0.10
DianaSvensk posts the big blind 0.25
Arsus1989 folds
chapatin folds
sven219 raises to 0.75
FALCON-GR folds
MetronAristo folds
DianaSvensk calls 0.50
Flop: [2c Ks 4c]
DianaSvensk checks
sven219 bets 1.10
DianaSvensk calls 1.10
Turn: [9c]
DianaSvensk checks
sven219 bets 2.60
DianaSvensk raises to 8.95
sven219 calls 6.35
River: [4d]
DianaSvensk bets 12.43


Ok, so this is a hand I think I didn't play well at all.

This river is terrible for me.

On this flop texture as the caller bb vs bu, I won't have a raising range, and on this turn, I won't be raising any off my sets, which means I don't have any boats when I get to this river. I think that means that I should be checking my hole range when the river pairs.

Ott, I will be calling my nut flushes, but probably raising all lower flushes than that + some bluffs. My river range should then look like this:

[P] 
Vs a 3x, my calling range is pretty tight.
44-99,ATs-AJs,KTs-KJs,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,AJo,KQo = 7,24 % of hands

[T] 
Raise Value: KTcc, KJcc, QTcc, QJcc, JTcc, T9cc, 89cc = 7 combos
Raise B: AcTx (4), AcJx (4) = 8

[R] 
Checking my hole range (not betting like we did in the hand). Let's say that we are checking here and then facing a pot sized bet. We need to defend pretty much all our flushes. Which is what we should have done on this river.

As played, I think folding to a shove is the correct play. Don't think villain is bluffing often enough here to make it a profitable call.

söndag 11 januari 2015

Hand: Turning QQ into bluff

Hand
Stars Hand #128447486300 begins at 2015/01/11  6:07 am
Seat 1 (A.Cretu) is the dealer
trinity2222 posts the small blind 0.10
DianaSvensk posts the big blind 0.25
eng_felix folds
wootdude raises to 0.50
Rabiator folds
A.Cretu folds
trinity2222 folds
DianaSvensk calls 0.25
Flop: [Kc 4c 7c]
DianaSvensk checks
wootdude bets 0.78
DianaSvensk calls 0.78
Turn: [Ad]
DianaSvensk checks
wootdude bets 1.90
DianaSvensk calls 1.90
River: [6d]
DianaSvensk checks
wootdude bets 3.09

[F] 
To this size, we need to defend 59% of our range + (65%) or 156x0,65 = 101 combos.
Calls V: AK (12), QK (12), 44 (3), 77 (3), 88-QQ (30), KTc (3), KJs (3) = 66
89CC, 9Tcc, TJcc, QTcc, QJcc, ATcc, AJcc, AQcc,  = 8
Draws: AcQx (4), AxQc (4), AcJx (4), AxJc (4) = 16

Tot 90 combos.

Since this is a K high board, I think we should skip raising this flop. Our range is very tight and we'd just use up most of the top of our range hands.
As you can see, we will be overfolding this flop slightly, but I think that's ok bcs calling more hands than the ones mentioned above would just be unprofitable imo.

[T] 
- 3 AJ, - 3 AK, - 3 AQ = 81 combos. To this sizing we want to be defending min 58% (65%) of our range if we can = 53 combos. .

We won't have many bluffs in our range on this turn. A lot of our flop floats made top pair now, therefor I prefer if we do not raise this turn at all for value or bluffs. If the turn was an offsuit deuce on the other hand I prefer to raise the smaller flushes and use some Ax floats to jam as bluff. Now we are delaying the bluff to the river.

Calls: AcQx (3), AxQc (3), AcJx (3), AxJc (3) = 12
AK (9), 44 (3), 77 (3) = 15
89CC, 9Tcc, TJcc, QTcc, QJcc, ATcc, AJcc, AQcc,  = 8
KxQc (3), QcQx (3), JcJx (3) = 9

Combos defended: 44

Again, our defense frequency is fairly low but I don't think we should or can defend more combos than this rofitably ott.

[R] 
To this size we need to defend 68% of our range or 44x0,68 = 30 combos.

Vs a half pot size bet I think we can raise all our Q-high flushes or better for value.

River V XRAI:  QTcc, QJcc, ATcc, AJcc, AQcc,  = 5
River B XRAI: AcQx (2)
Calls: 89CC, 9Tcc, TJcc (3) AK (9), 44 (3), 77 (3) = 18

Again, we are not defending quite enough but I think it's better to do exploitable folds here. I don't think calling 1 pair hands on this river will be profitABLE. Instead I put AcQx as bluff since it is the top of our folding range and it blocks AA and AK and flushes. Playing our range like this, if we're bluffing QQ we're bluffing  too much. Even if we add some 1 pair hands to our river calling range, we'll still have AcX hands that play better as bluffs. QcQx therefor should have been a fold on this river!

Hands defended on the river: 24

AcQx (3), AxQc (3), AcJx (3), AxJc (3),


lördag 10 januari 2015

Results 10 NL

I managed to get over the first bracket for 10 NL. Here are the results:


/ Diana

torsdag 8 januari 2015

Hand: river strategy with AA

[P] 
Vs 3x bu open we3bet more aggressively. Our range look something like this:
99+,A2s+,K7s+,Q8s-Q9s,J7s-J9s,T7s-T8s,97s,86s,75s,64s,ATo+,KJo+
16,89%
= 224 combos

[F] 
Check/call: KK w K s and AA w As (6), JJ (3), AKss, AQss, ATss (3), AsJx (4), AK (7), AQ (7)
(XR and barell som lower fd inc QK)
= tot 30 combos

[T] 
Vs this sizing, we need to defend 66% + of our range. 30x0,70 = 21 combos.
Calls: KK (3), AA (3), AKss, AQss, ATss (3), JJ (3), AK (3) = 15

Raise Value: 4 AK
Raise Bluff: 4 AsJx
8

This turn is actually pretty good for us, and we have very few hands in our range now. I like to both raise and call this turn. We can actually fold all our AQ hands here.

[R] 
To this sizing, we should defend 65% of our range or 14 combos.

Calls: KK (3), JJ (3), AA (1) = 7
Raise Value: AK (4) = 4
Raise Bluff: AA (2) = 2

AA is the cut off hand here, and even though I think it's - ev to call this in game, it is a really good hand to use as bluff since it blocks AK (since we're deeper we assume villain can still have AK in this hand).

Result: we should XR this hand all in on the river.