Cbet strat in 3bet pots OOP

Hello!

Today, again, I'll be looking at a spot that seam trivial, but one of the first biggest mistakes I made early on in my poker career was to cbet and barell off too much, so I worked quite a bit on recognizing spot like these - even, like said, they might seam trivial to you :)

Hand

PokerStars Zoom Hand #124924346183:  Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50)

Table 'Baade' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: YouRMyFr1end ($59.64 in chips)
Seat 2: DianaSvensk ($111.86 in chips)
Seat 3: tomekpe ($72.44 in chips)
Seat 4: PokerJed55 ($50 in chips)
Seat 5: bodgik77 ($58.85 in chips)
Seat 6: zenzorita20 ($49.11 in chips)
DianaSvensk: posts small blind $0.25
tomekpe: posts big blind $0.50

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DianaSvensk [7c Ac]
PokerJed55: folds
bodgik77: folds
zenzorita20: folds
YouRMyFr1end: raises $0.50 to $1
DianaSvensk: raises $2.50 to $3.50
tomekpe: folds
YouRMyFr1end: calls $2.50

*** FLOP *** [Ks 9h 4s]
DianaSvensk: bets $4.29
YouRMyFr1end: calls $4.29

*** TURN *** [Ks 9h 4s] [Jc]
DianaSvensk: checks
YouRMyFr1end: checks

*** RIVER *** [Ks 9h 4s Jc] [Jh]
DianaSvensk: bets $15.50
YouRMyFr1end: folds
Uncalled bet ($15.50) returned to DianaSvensk
DianaSvensk collected $15.36 from pot
DianaSvensk: doesn't show hand

*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $16.08 | Rake $0.72
Board [Ks 9h 4s Jc Jh]
Seat 1: YouRMyFr1end (button) folded on the River
Seat 2: DianaSvensk (small blind) collected ($15.36)
Seat 3: tomekpe (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: PokerJed55 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: bodgik77 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: zenzorita20 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Analysis

[P]

55+,33,A2s+,K8s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,65s,ATo+,KJo+ = 19,56% of hands = 260 combos. 3bet hole range from SB.

[F]

Cbet value:
AA (3, w/o As), 99 (3), K9s (2), AK (8) = 17
KQ (12), KJ (12), KTs (3), K8s (3), 98s (3), 9Ts (3), J9s (3), Q9s (3) = 42
TT-JJ (12) = 12

63 v bets

Bluffs:
Straight draws: JTs (4), QTs (4), Qjs (4) = 12
Flush draws: A2ss-A3ss, A5ss-A8ss = 6, 65ss, 67ss, 87ss, T8ss, J8ss, Q8ss = 6 = 12
Backdoor fds: A2hh-A3ss, A5ss-A8ss = 6, 65ss, 67ss, 87ss, T8ss, J8ss, Q8hh = 12
AsQx (4), AxQs (4), AsJx (4), AxJs (4), AsTx (4), AxTs (4) = 24

60 bluffs

I do think we should have more bluffs here, but it's hard to choose which ones. I'd probably choose hands that have good barell opportunities though like backdoor straight draws so lets start by adding those.

AQ (10), AJ (10), AT (10) = 30

Just adding the other offsuit combos of Ax we now have another 30 bluffs, which looks more reasonable to me.

90 bluffs

Result: this particular combo (A7cc) has no barell opportunities ott and it's very low down in our range and should have been check-been folded otf. 

It's ok to give up sometimes. We are still coninuing w/ 75% of our rang which is plenty!

c/c strong: KK, AA w/ the As, AK w/ the As (4), QQ (6) = 16
AQss, AJss, ATsss = 3
AQhh, AJhh, AThh = 3
Value 1 street: 55-88 (24) = 24

46 combos defended when checked the flop.

[T]

- 4 combos of AJ, - 4 combos of AJ, - 4 combos of AK, - 1 combo of KTs, - 4 combos of KJ, - 3 combos of JJ

= 130 combos that bet the flop now ott

On the J turn, we v bet:

KJ (9), K9s (2), QTs (4), JJ (3), J9s (2) = 20
AK (8), KQ (12) = 20

40 value bets

Bluffs:

Flush draws: A2ss-A3ss, A5ss-A8ss = 6, 65ss, 67ss, 87ss, T8ss, J8ss, Q8ss = 6 = 12
Straight draws: AQ = 12, AT = 12
T8hh, Q8hh = 2
98s (3), 9Ts (3) = 6
TT = 6
Q9s (3) = 3

41 bluffs.

Since a lot of hands got devalued ott, I like taking the TT and 9x and turning them into a bluff now. They have good blockers and are just in between my range. 

c/c:
AJ (12), JTs (3), QJs (3), KTs (3), K8s (3) = 24

Give ups:
25 combos

This board becomes so dynamic, villain will often have a pair+ straightdraw type hands, I prefer to bet most stronghands atm.

Also, a lot of our weaker value b otf now becomes very weak (9x). Hard to tell what we are supposed to do w/ them though. There are still many other hands that won't to c/c so maybe c/f is the best options for those. 

[R] 

- 3 AJ, - 1 JTs, - 1 QJs, = 21 v combos left + 25 give ups.
56 combos that we get to the river w/ this way.

This river is actually very good for our T checking range, and I think villain would likely bet the turn if he had Jx beat (though he also has some Jx in his range). 

C/c: KTs (3),  JTs (3), K8s = 12 combos. I like c/c these bcs they have good blockers.

V bets: AJ (9) ,QJs (3) = 14 combos v bet.

As for bluffs, I have the choice between hand w / weak showdown value or blockers. I prefer not to have spades in my hand though, and even if I dont expect to win much w/ TT I think I should rather try to show it down, even though it's close. 

Bluffs: AQ no spades (4), At no spades (4) = 8 bluffs.

I do like to bet bigger (pot) here bcs Jx is essentially gonna be the nuts here and we have quite a few of those.

To summarize: I don't think A7cc should have been cbet, but as played I think the bigger bet size otr is fine-ish but again we should be choosing better hands to bluff.


Best,
D